The Billion-Dollar Bet That America Will Strike It Rich
Everyone from gambling greats to newbies wants in on the action and behavior experts say the amount of time a player spends gambling does not vary much from the average player anyway.
Fusion Power: The Star-Fueled Energy Revolution
Fusion power, the on-paper alternative to fission, has long been a holy grail for energy — one that, despite status as a punchline in science fiction, could theoretically provide limitless, clean electricity by harnessing the same reaction that powers the sun. Scientists have been hunting for it, in some form or another, for the better part of a century. But something has changed of late. Investment is gushing in, and breakthroughs are occurring faster. And that’s getting the attention of some of the world’s most powerful tech giants.
Tech Giants Join the Fusion Race
From Google and Microsoft to Bezos, Gates and Breakthrough Energy Ventures, heavyweights are betting billions that fusion is finally near. But what is behind this eruption of confidence? Why are corporate titans treating fusion not just as a science experiment, but as a business opportunity?
Why Fusion Power Is Breaking Out of the Lab
We’ll examine why fusion power is braking out of the boardroom, and not just the lab.
What Is Fusion Power?
Starfire on Earth
Fusion is the act of merging atomic nuclei — often isotopes of hydrogen like deuterium and tritium — to create heavier elements, and it releases enormous amounts of energy. Fission is not to be confused with fusion, which:
Yields no long-lived radioactive waste
Carries no meltdown risk
Emits zero carbon
Powered by abundant fuel (such as seawater)
At its core, fusion provides near-limitless clean energy — assuming, that is, we can achieve it.
The Fusion Tipping Point: Why Now?
Fusion has progressed at a painfully slow pace for decades. So what changed? A perfect storm, as far as investors are concerned, has developed from a series of factors:
Scientific Breakthroughs
In October 2022, the Lawrence Livermore National Lab’s NIF made history and surpassed the breakeven energy threshold for inertial confinement fusion, the first time that a fusion reaction produced more energy than what was put into it (in terms of the fuel).
Meanwhile, private companies, such as Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) and TAE Technologies, are advancing with novel materials, compact reactors and artificial intelligence-driven controls.
Novel Magnets and Materials
High temperature superconductors (HTS) are also making small, powerful magnetic confinement devices possible. That would mean we could build desktop-size tokamaks instead of stadium-size ones — and save enormous sums and construction time.
Artificial Intelligence and Simulation
AI and machine learning enable quicker modelling of plasma behaviour which accelerates trial-and-error development cycles. Companies such as Google and DeepMind are even using reinforcement learning to optimise plasma stability in real time.
Private Capital and Talent
Fusion, on the other hand, is now luring top engineering talent and deep-pocketed backers. Just in 2023, private fusion companies attracted more than $6 billion, reflecting a seismic change in the market.
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Learn why the world’s tech giants are pouring billions of dollars into fusion power and also, the hurdles between us and it, and how startups are racing to bring the power of the stars to Earth.
Who’s Betting Big?
Breakthrough Energy Ventures
This VC firm, established by Bill Gates, has invested in a number of fusion startups, including:
Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS), the MIT spin-out startup working on energy that has set its sights on building a fusion power plant, hasannounced that has raised a new round of funding.
Helion Energy
TAE Technologies
Gates thinks fusion is a means to “deal with the hardest parts of climate change.”
Amazon’s Jeff Bezos
Bezos Explosions backed General Fusion, a Canadian company that uses magnetized target fusion (MTF) — an option to harsher tokamaks. General Fusion is constructing a demonstration plant in the U.K., with an eye toward commercial energy in the 2030s.
Google and DeepMind
Google collaborated with TAE Technologies to use AI to solve issues around plasma stability. DeepMind generated some Plasma Control algorithms which were better than experts of human-designed ones in experimental reactors.
OpenAI Co-Founder Sam Altman
Altman was the personal investor in more than $375M into Helion Energy, which would become one of the most-well-funded private fusion companies. Helion’s compact linear device employswhat it calls direct energy conversion — no steam turbines involved.
Microsoft
Microsoft made a big bet, agreeing a power purchasing agreement (PPA) with Helion to purchase fusion electricity, beginning in 2028 — a first-of-its-kind commercial fusion contract.
Promising Fusion Startups to Look Out For
Company | Country | Approach | Target Timeline |
---|---|---|---|
Helion Energy | USA | Linear combination + direct conversion | Commercial by 2028 |
Commonwealth Fusion | USA | HTS tokamak (SPARC) | Demo by 2025; energy by 2030 |
TAE Technologies | USA | Field-reversed configuration | Pilot by 2027 |
General Fusion | Canada/UK | Magnetized target fusion | Demo plant in 2025 |
First Light Fusion | UK | Projectile-based fusion | Simplified inertial fusion |
Why Tech Giants Are All In
Fusion Is the Perfect Scale Game
These companies, after all, live for exponential growth and disruption. Fusion is a moonshot — but if we achieve it, it’s disruptive:
Oil and gas
Coal
Nuclear fission
Grid infrastructure
It opens up trillion-dollar new markets and provides always-on, at-will energy for data centers, AI farms and industrial plants.
Climate Goals + Long-term Vision
Tech companies are under mounting pressure to achieve net-zero emissions. Fusion provides:
Infirm/non-dispatchable baseload (though not variable – as with wind and solar)
A carbon-free source with no rare earth mining Bill HammondPortland, Ore.
A means to green operations without purchasing offsets
Hardware Meets Software
Startups working on fusion instead combine hardware innovation with software-driven optimization. AI keeps plasma in check, refines components and simulates situations more quickly than physics labs could have done a decade ago.
Control of Energy Supply
To own part of the fusion pipeline is to own the new energy supply. That’s crucial for companies running energy-intensive AI models, blockchain networks or electric vehicles.
The Economic Upside
Market Potential
Fusion could become a $40 trillion industry worldwide by midcentury. Among the other developed projects investors will be left with significant IP positions and commercial:
Reactor design
Fuel handling (deuterium - tritium)
Power conversion and grid integration.
Licensing and registration facilities
Employment and Export Prospects
Fusion facilities are also smaller, safer and can be placed anywhere to serve markets. This means:
High-tech jobs
Exportable systems
National energy independence
Remaining Challenges
Sustained Net Gain
Brief flashes of net energy gain have been demonstrated in laboratories, but maintaining it for hours — not nanoseconds or milliseconds — is a major hurdle.
Materials and Heat Management
Fusion generates a barrage of neutrons and extreme heat. We need materials that:
Resist degradation
Maintain conductivity
Decades on end with no replacement
Regulatory Frameworks
Fusion doesn’t adhere to the standard nuclear playbook. Regulators must also establish new standards of safety without slowing the work — a dance on the head of a pin.
Fuel Supply Chain
Tritium is rare and radioactive. There is plenty of deuterium (in water) but to get fusion you need: Alternatively:
Tritium production in the reactor
Statigic on fuel for the long term
Is Fusion About to Hit the Grid?
That’s the billion-dollar question.” Some say the 2030s for demonstration, the 2040s for commercial deployment. Its critics say that fusion has always been “30 years away.”
But today’s push for fusion has three distinct advantages over the previous decades:
Unprecedented levels of private capital
AI + High performance Computing Speeding up R&D
An worldwide virtual team of physicists, engineers, and software developers collaborating together
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Final Thoughts: A Wager on a Brighter Fire
Fusion has always been a long shot — but now, it’s a long shot that some of tech’s biggest names are finally ready to put down a bet on. Why? Because the up side isn’t only cleaner energy. It is an opportunity to redefine geopolitics, the economy and climate security.
If just one fusion company hits commercial viability, it could alter the trajectory of civilization. That’s why Silicon Valley, Wall Street, and global governments are descending on this once-impossible dream.
Because the future isn’t fueled by oil or carbon — it’s powered by innovation. And more and more, it might be fueled by a captive star burning inside a machine.